Inflation and Coal Prices: Analyzing Their Influence on Mining Sector Stock Returns in Indonesia

Authors

  • Johny Sumarna Putra University Of Mazandaran, Mazandaran Province, Iran
  • Mani Motameni University Of Mazandaran, Mazandaran Province, Iran

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.60036/jbm.v4i3.art17

Keywords:

Inflation, Coal Prices, Returns, Influence

Abstract

This research examines the influence of coal prices and inflation on mining sector stock returns in the short and long-term using monthly data from the period January 2009 – December 2020. Data analysis in this study used the Autoregressive Distributed-Lag (ARDL). Based on the test results using ARDL method, it can be concluded that in the short-term inflation has a negative and significant effect on Mining Sector Stock Returns. Meanwhile, coal prices have no effect on mining sector stock returns. In the long term, it shows the same phenomenon, namely inflation has a negative and significant effect on Mining Sector Stock Returns. Meanwhile, coal prices have no effect on mining sector stock returns.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Ang, R. (1997). The Intelligent Guide to Indonesian Capital Market. Jakarta: Mediasoft Indonesia.

Anisa, I. (2018). The Influence of Macroeconomics and World Mining Commodity Prices on the Mining Sector Stock Price Index in Indonesia. Malang: Faculty of Administrative Sciences, Brawijaya University.

Arif, I. (2014). Indonesian Coal. Jakarta: Gramedia Pustaka Utama.

Awan. (2020). Coal Price Volatility and Stock Market Performance in Emerging Markets. Journal of RIsk and Financial Management, 162.

Bian Jiang-Ze, Q. Q.-L.-Y.-J.-J. (2024). Stock markets, local governments leverage, and regional economic development: Evidence from China. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal.

Borteye, E. A., & Peprah, W. K. (2022). Correlates of Stock Market Development and Economic Growth: A Confirmatory Study from Ghana. International Journal of Economics and Finance, 1-18.

BPS. (2023). Non-Oil and Natural Gas Mining Statistics 2018-2022. Jakarta: Statistics Indonesia.

Chiang, T. C., & Chen, P.-Y. (2023). Inflation risk and stock returns: Evidence from US aggregate and sectoral markets. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance.

Chikwira, C., & Mohammed, J. I. (2023). The Impact of the Stock Market on Liquidity and Economic Growth: Evidence of Volatile Market. Economies Journal, 155.

DEN. (2023). Outlook Energi Indonesia 2023. Jakarta: National Energy Council.

Diaz, & Gracia. (2016). Oil price shocks and stock returns of oil and gas corporations. Finance Research Letters, 1-6.

Edward. (2009). Energy Trading and Investing: Trading, Risk Management and Structuring Deals in the Energy Market. McGraw-Hill Education.

Elgehani, L., Elfeituri, H., & Elkrghli, S. (2023). The Impact of Stock Markets on Economic Growth in the Gulf Countries (1993–2019). Benghazi: Libyan International Medical University, Faculty of Business Administration.

Fathurahman, M. M. (2023). The Influence of Coal Prices and Capital Structure on Stock Returns with Profitability as an Intervening Variable. Malang: Maulana Malik Ibrahim State Islamic University (UIN) Faculty of Economics.

Hasi, R. A. (2022). The Influence of Inflation, Interest Rates and Rupiah Exchange Rates on Mining Sector Share Prices on the Indonesian Stock Exchange. Bogor: Pakuan University Faculty of Economics and Business.

Hertina, D. (2018). Mining Sector Index: Impact of Inflation, SBI Interest Rates, and Exchange Rates. Journal Accounting and Finance, 31-42.

Jogiyanto. (2009). Portfolio Theory and Securities Analysis. Yogyakarta: BPFE.

Kraft, J., & Kraft, A. (1978). On the Relationship Between Energy and GNP. Journal of Energy and Development, 401-403.

Kuncoro, M. (2009). International Financial Management: An Introduction to Global Economics and Business. Yogyakarta: BPFE.

Masood, Tvaronavičienė, & Javaria. (2019). Impact of oil prices on stock return: Evidence from G7 countries. Insights Into Regional Development, 129-137.

Najib, M. A. (2022). The Influence of Coal Prices, Earnings per Share, and Return on Assets on Share Prices of Coal Mining Companies Listed on the Indonesian Stock Exchange. Malang: Faculty of Economics and Business, Brawijaya University.

Ndlove. (2021). Impact of Coal Price Fluctuations on Stock Market Performance: Evidence from the South African Mining Industry. Journal Resources Policy, 102-129.

Putong, I. (2002). Macro and Microekonomi. Jakarta: Ghalia Indonesia.

Putra, & Robiyanto. (2019). The effect of commodity price changes and USD/IDR exchange rate on Indonesian mining companies’ stock return. Monetary and Banking Journal, 97-108.

Putra, G. A., Mulyantini, S., & Arieftiara, D. (2021). Business diversification of coal mining companies as a strategy facing coal price volatility: The effect on company performance and share prices. International Journal of Business Ecosystem & Strategy, 38-50.

Putra, M. U., & Damanik, S. (2017). The influence of oil and gas and non-oil and gas exports on the position of Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves. Wira Ekonomi Mikroskil Journal, 245-254.

Samsul, M. (2008). Capital Markets and Portfolio Management. Jakarta: Erlangga.

Samsul, M. (2016). Capital Markets and Portfolio Management. Jakarta: Erlangga.

Sari. (2021). The Relationship between Coal Prices and Indonesian Stock Exhange (IDX) Composite Index. Journal KnE Social Science, 475-484.

Sathyanarayana, & Gargesa. (2018). An Analytical Study of the Effect of Inflation on Stock Market Returns. IRA-International Journal of Management & Social Sciences, 48-64.

Setyaningrum, R., & Muljono, M. (2016). Inflation, Interest Rates, and Exchange Rates on Stock Returns. Journal of Economic Business Analysis, 151-161.

Sharifzadeh. (2021). The Impact of International Coal Prices on Stock Market Return in Indonesia: Evidence from a Nonlinear ARDL Model. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 281-288.

Sudiyatno, B. (2010). The Role of Company Performance in Determining the Influence of Macroeconomic Fundamental Factors, Systematic Risk and Company Policy on Company Value. Semarang: Master of Management Study Program, DIponegoro University.

Sukirno, S. (2010). Macroeconomics: Introductory Theory. Jakarta: PT. Raja Grasindo Persada.

Suliyanto. (2019). The Relationship between the Coal Price and the Stock Price of Indonesian Mining Companies. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 152-156.

Sunariyah. (2006). Introduction to Capital Market Knowledge. Yogyakarta: UPP STIM YKPN.

Tandellin, E. (2010). Portfolio and Investment (Theory and Application). Yogyakarta: Kanisius.

Tertzakian, P., & Hollihan, K. (2009). The End of Energy Obesity. New Jersey: John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Toan Ngoc Bui, T.-T. T. (2021). The impact of stock market development on economic growth: A GMM approach. Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 74-81.

Toman, M. T., & Jemelkova, B. (2003). Energy and Economic Development: An Assessment of the State of Knowledge. The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, 93-112.

Wadiran, M. M. (2013). Factors that Influence the Expected Return of Shares in Coal Mining Listed on the Indonesian Stock Exchange. EMBA Journal: Journal of Economics, Management, Business and Accounting Research, 1080-1193.

Wibisono, B. Y. (2015). Impact of Coal Production on Economic Growth in Indonesia.

Yoo. (2006). Causal relationship between coal consumption and economic growth in Korea. Applied Energy, 1181-1189.

Downloads

Published

2024-07-31

How to Cite

Putra, J. S., & Motameni, M. (2024). Inflation and Coal Prices: Analyzing Their Influence on Mining Sector Stock Returns in Indonesia . Jurnal Bisnis Mahasiswa, 4(3), 420–429. https://doi.org/10.60036/jbm.v4i3.art17